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 'Peak everything': Fischer 

'Peak everything': Fischer

12 Feb, 2012 02:30 AM
FEW public figures in secular Australia can wangle the Pope and agriculture into the same speech, but Tim Fischer is a notable exception.

The former Nationals leader, and until recently the Australian Ambassador to the Holy See, Mr Fischer addressed the National Press Club last week on the question of global food security - an issue he said the Vatican was keenly aware of.

Mr Fischer quoted Pope Benedict XVI from a 2010 address: "It seems to me it is time to re-evaluate and revitalise agriculture, not in a nostalgic sense but as an indispensible resource for the future".

All the signs of impending catastrophe are in front of us, Mr Fischer said, as runaway population growth heads for a smash into "peak everything" - water, land, nutrient, oil, fish and research.

Increased climate volatility, bringing more regular droughts, floods and accelerated glacier melt, must be factored into attempts to feed the growing population, Mr Fischer told the Press Club.

Peak water is not just an issue of the world's rapidly-depleted groundwater supplies, Mr Fischer observed, but must also account for melting glaciers in the Himalaya, the source of several major rivers supplying the world's most populous regions.

A major study reported in Nature on February 9 found that overall, the Himalayan ice pack is stable. While the global satellite survey found lower-altitude glaciers in the Asian mountain ranges are definitely melting, enough ice was added to the peaks to compensate.

Globally, the study reported significant melting of ice, with little revision to forecast sea level rises.

Mr Fischer also flagged forecasts that up to 40 per cent of the Earth may face regular drought by end of the 21st century, and cited Julian Cribb, author of The Coming Famine, who wrote that world food production may decline by around 25pc "exactly when we are attempting to double it".

"The IC of BRIC (the combined economies of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) are especially exposed, namely India and China, with both huge urbanisation and much pollution impacting on agriculture," Mr Fischer said.

"The squeeze is on in these two giant countries of Greater Asia, with the prospect that there will be millions on the move, driven by hunger.

"The two key priorities, in my view, are to boost research on all aspects of the chain from seed to paddock to plate, including the dissemination of the research information; secondly, mount a huge war on food waste, both with crop production and processed foods.

"The Food Famine Clock stands near midnight, not just for Africa, but for many parts of greater Asia and beyond."

"We need action and leadership on this now, and I welcome the federal government decision to set up the Australian International Food Security Centre at ACIAR here in Canberra."

Mr Fischer is a new member on the board of the Global Crop Diversity Trust, an organisation dedicated to the conservation and availability of crop diversity for food security.

Among its other programs, the Trust funds the Svalbard Global Seed Vault, an underground seed bank in the Arctic that secures duplicates of the world’s most important crops in case natural disasters, civil strife, extreme weather or other threats destroy a unique variety.

Australian sent its first shipment of genetic material to the vault last year.

"Worldwide, preserving the original genetic material in our food crops matters a great deal," Mr Fischer said.

"It goes to the core of the future of agriculture and preventing famine."

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Date: Newest first | Oldest first
Australia, the driest continent with the most variable weather and most infertile soils, is being forced to cope with increasing - even perpetual- population growth. How can Australia give advice to other nations about food security while our economy feeds of unlimited growth, and prime farmland is being sold to foreign investors? The Pope, if he is concerned about famine and impending global disaster, should give advice on family planning, and encourage it. How can the Church have any credibility if the Pope ignores the damage done by banning contraception?
Posted by VivKay, 12/02/2012 7:37:43 AM
Former Prime Minister's popularity plummeted with his support of "big Australia". He still hasn't apologized, and despite Julia Gillard rejecting it previously, we are still heading for up to 50 million people by 2050. Why be concerned about "peak everything" if the overall factor is population numbers? Any other forms of "sustainabiltiy" are band aids compared to addressing population growth. Food security, peak oil, climate change, soil degradation are all driven by human numbers and the livestock demanded by society.
Posted by VivKay, 12/02/2012 7:42:59 AM
Good to hear a politician repenting for pushing population growth on Australia - better late than never. Now it's time we looked at new parties like the Stable Population Party...
Posted by Australia's sustainable choice, 12/02/2012 7:51:37 AM
Why can't our Federal and State politicians see the obvious limits to growth? Economist think that growth can be endless, and resources infinite, and that Nature will just comply. There are limits to economic growth, based on finite natural resources and natural constraints to growth. Natural resources are finite - it's science, and the economy of depletion, not political. Our Federal ministers are all for massive and perpetual GROWTH rather than consider the future.
Posted by Milly O, 12/02/2012 11:06:17 AM
Always the focus is on providing for food when it should be on reducing human fertility, especially in the developing world.

The excess fertility in the developing world, when combined with the example of excess consumption in the west, is a major threat to global political stability.

Perhaps we have to face the fact that excess human fertility and over population renders democracy, as it it is currently practiced, incompatible with global sustainability.

Posted by Greg, 12/02/2012 11:08:31 AM
Sooner or later we, or more likely our children grand children will be faced with some very morally troubling choices.

Allow an indifferent mother nature to slash our numbers through famine, disease, war and genocide etc.

Or go beyond contraception and family planning and control global human fertility by such involuntary means as otherwise harmless genetically engineered biological vectors etc.

Posted by Greg, 12/02/2012 11:12:53 AM
Tim Fischer is on the money and awake to the looming problem the world faces, and Australia in particular. Why is the past Agriculture Minister, Tony Burke, and the current one, Joe Ludwig are not. Both have ignored and even favour the sale of our agriculture land to foreign entities, even sovereign wealth funds, buying up key land and agricultural industries to protect their own food security. I recently travelled through Hamilton, Victoria, heartland of the Western District, where Quatar has bought a 5000 acre chunk of the best land in Australia. Are we asleep at the wheel? What to do?
Posted by Permie Susan, 12/02/2012 11:21:01 AM
Tim Fischer Malthus!
Posted by Pro Freedom, 12/02/2012 3:19:44 PM
Tim must have been listening to that other Tim, Flannery, when he bought the notion of "peak water" back in 2007. Since 2010 about all we have had are flood peaks, and plenty of them. Some decline eh?

And as we shift into the next drought phase all the usual Malthusian plodders will be claiming these floods were the last we'll ever see and it is all down hill from here.

Talk about brain ruts.

Posted by Ian Mott, 13/02/2012 11:09:14 AM
I agree with the comments regarding the Pope being concerned on the one hand about population growth and supporting the ban on birth control. The two are incompatible.

Second, I disagree with the unsupported assumption that additional population growth is unsustainable. What is needed is a more efficient use of resources NOT influenced by large scale government subsidies. Here in the US we burn almost 40% of all the corn we grow, while at the same time wrecking havoc on the environment. The US has more people in JAIL than farming. Local, organic based ag can support additional pop. growth.

Posted by Michael in Alabama, USA, 14/02/2012 1:48:48 AM
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Tim Fischer warns 'all the signs of impending catastrophe are in front of us'.
Tim Fischer warns 'all the signs of impending catastrophe are in front of us'.

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